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US regulations affecting your ships - get the January update!

This is the latest in a series of reports supplied by the Chamber of Shipping of America (CSA) with the intention of keeping BIMCO members appraised of legislative developments in the US affecting international shipping. BIMCO highlights only the relevant developments that would impact members. The ... Please follow the link to continue reading.

Demand

We estimate that crude tanker demand will increase by 6.5-7.5% in 2024 and 2-3% in 2025. Cargo growth is forecast to be 2-3% in 2024 and 1-2% in 2024. Increased sailing distances due to the Red Sea crisis are expected to lift demand in the first half of 2024, whereas the continued shift of crude sup... Please follow the link to continue reading.

Macro environment

Global economic growth is estimated to have been 3.1% in 2023. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects that growth in 2024 and 2025 will end up at 3.1% and 3.2% respectively. The IMF forecasts slower growth for both 2024 and 2025 in the US, China, Japan and India compared to 2023. On the oth... Please follow the link to continue reading.

Geographical ranges

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Demand

So far this year, container volume growth has developed more favourably than we predicted in our last report and we have also upped our growth forecast for the full year. We now forecast that container volumes will grow 5.0-6.0% in 2024 and 3.0-4.0% in 2025. Head-haul and regional trades are expect... Please follow the link to continue reading.

Supply/demand balance

Houthis continue to attack ships in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, and there is no end to the conflict in sight.  We therefore base our forecasts on the assumption that rerouting of ships away from the Red Sea and the Suez Canal towards the Cape of Good Hope may impact the market throughout 2024,... Please follow the link to continue reading.