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Supply/demand balance

The disruption caused by ships being rerouted via the Cape of Good Hope remains the key ship demand driver. As a result, ship demand is forecast to grow three times faster than cargo volumes in 2024. Without it, ship supply would have grown faster than ship demand but instead we expect that the sup... Please follow the link to continue reading.

Demand

We forecast that cargo volumes will grow 4-5% in 2024 and 3-4% in 2025. Volumes in head-haul trades are expected to grow slightly faster than the average. We have lowered our cargo volume growth forecast for 2024 by 1 percentage point as second quarter volumes for some back-haul trades disappointed... Please follow the link to continue reading.

Supply

Our forecast for fleet growth in 2023 has been adjusted downwards as it appears that more ships planned for delivery in 2023 than expected have been delayed until 2024. In addition, recycling has progressed more slowly than we expected. We now forecast fleet growth of 7.0% in 2023. On the other han... Please follow the link to continue reading.